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Kraft, Cadbury close to $19 billion friendly deal: sources

U.S.-based Kraft Foods Inc and Britain’s Cadbury Plc are close to sealing a friendly deal to create the world’s largest confectionery group for up to 11.7 billion pounds ($19 billion), sources familiar with the matter said on Monday.

Cadbury had steadfastly rejected Kraft’s previous 10.5 billion pound hostile takeover bid since a brief conversation between the two sides in late August.

But with a January 19 deadline looming to raise its bid, Kraft Chief Executive Irene Rosenfeld held talks late into the night in central London with Cadbury Chairman Roger Carr and CEO Todd Stitzer. An agreement was expected to be announced early on Tuesday, sources familiar with the situation told Reuters.

The two sides were discussing a deal valued as high as 850 pence a share for Cadbury, compared to Kraft’s current offer of 769p a share, sources said.

Most, or possibly all, of the increase would be in cash to appease Kraft shareholders, such as Warren Buffett, who opposed issuing more shares to purchase Cadbury.

One source said Kraft had offered Carr the role of chairman of a combined company and Stitzer the opportunity to remain at the helm of Cadbury, but that both executives had yet to decide on accepting.

“Talks are at an advanced stage, and it will be very difficult for Cadbury not to recommend a deal close to 850 pence,” said a second source.

Rosenfeld had gone door-to-door in London to visit Cadbury investors late last week, with many shareholders saying she mostly listened to their arguments for a higher price. Direct talks with Cadbury began after she took stock of their comments, sources said.

Kraft had been expected to raise its bid by the deadline set by the UK Takeover Panel and many Cadbury investors said they would not contemplate an offer below 800p to 850p per share. Earlier on Monday, major Cadbury shareholder Standard Life said Kraft needed to bid over 900p per share to get its support.

Both Kraft and Cadbury declined to comment.

AN END TO INDEPENDENCE

Cadbury, the maker of Dairy Milk chocolate beloved by many in the UK as a national treat, had said it sought to remain on its own as long as Kraft’s offer undervalued its businesses.

A deal with the U.S. food group, known for its Oreo cookie and Velveeta cheese brands, would mark the end of independence for a British institution built 186 years ago when John Cadbury opened a shop in Birmingham selling tea and cocoa.

“I identify them with plastic cheese on hamburgers,” said Felicity Loudon, a descendant of Cadbury’s founding family, when asked about Kraft in November.

Unite, Britain’s largest labor union, has also opposed a takeover by Kraft, saying the U.S. company would need to lay off tens of thousands of workers to achieve its savings targets in a deal.

Cadbury’s leadership had also encouraged talks with potential rival bidders, particularly Hershey Co, a partner in selling Cadbury’s brands in the United States. But Hershey has struggled with the notion of buying a company more than twice its size.

Hershey had been preparing a bid for Cadbury to top Kraft, but “won’t compete at this price level,” a source familiar with the matter said on Monday. Hershey was surprised by news of a possible friendly deal, the source said.

Hershey officials declined comment.

ROSENFELD’S PLAY

Rosenfeld made her most ambitious move yet in pursuing Cadbury, aiming to fold its faster-growing confectionery business and exposure to emerging markets into Kraft’s slower moving businesses. Combined the companies would top Mars-Wrigley as the top confectionery group.

Since Kraft made its offer for Cadbury public in early September, Rosenfeld played a steady heady hand and kept details of the company’s strategy under tight secrecy.

She initially approached Cadbury’s Carr in London in August during a 20-minute meeting, after which she faxed the terms of an offer that was quickly rejected. Until the current talks, Rosenfeld refused to raise the overall bid and had only offered Cadbury investors a cash sweetener.

Earlier this month, top shareholder Buffett came out in opposition to Kraft’s request to issue up to 370 million shares to fund the acquisition. But he left the door open to changing that stance, and Kraft’s use of cash in a raised offer could be convincing enough.

Industry analysts said Kraft could finance its raised offer from the sale of its frozen pizza business and from the $9.2 billion it has secured from lenders.

Nokia files suits against display, monitor makers

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Top mobile phone maker Nokia (NOK1V.HE) said on Tuesday it filed suits in Britain and the United States last week alleging a number of leading technology firms operate cartels for mobile phone and monitor displays.

Nokia said the suits followed government investigations in the United States, Europe and elsewhere, and other civil suits already filed in the United States. A spokesman declined to say how much the firm was seeking in damages.

Nokia said companies named in the suits included AU Optronics (AUO.N), Hitachi (6501.T), LG (066570.KS), Philips (PHG.AS), Samsung (005930.KS), Seiko Epson (6724.T), Sharp (6753.T) and Toshiba (6502.T).

Global stocks rise, dollar falls after stimulus pledge

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Global stocks rose and the dollar fell on Monday after the Group of 20 pledged to keep stimulus in place until recovery was assured, following data on Friday showing the U.S. unemployment rate rose to a 26-year high.

The MSCI world equity index .MIWD00000PUS rose 0.8 percent in early London trade while European shares .FTEU3 were up 1.2 percent.

That came after Tokyo’s Nikkei share average closed up 0.2 percent .N225 and other Asian shares also gained.

“The markets have not been given any excuse to do a lot of correcting,” said Bernard McAlinden, strategist at NCB Stockbrokers. “At the G20 meeting, the members agreed to keep the stimulus in place.”

The dollar fell broadly as higher-yielding and commodity-linked currencies benefitted from renewed risk-taking sentiment.

“We have positive equity markets so we have risk appetite. And that is still a dollar negative. People are buying into higher-yielding currencies or currencies where rates are going higher,” said Niels Christiensen at Nordea in Copenhagen.

“It’s difficult to pinpoint any reason to hold or buy the dollar. So the dollar is still the preferred funding currency.”

The euro was up 0.8 percent against the dollar at $1.4966. The Australian dollar was up 0.9 percent against the U.S. dollar and the New Zealand dollar was up 1.5 percent.

Bond markets were pressured not only by higher stocks but also ahead of a slew of supply this week, notably the $81 billion from the United States which starts with a sale of $40 billion in three-year notes later in the day.

Yields on 10-year Treasury notes edged up to 3.529 percent in Asian trade, up 2 basis points from late U.S. trade on Friday. They were last at 3.520 percent.

Japanese benchmark 10-year government bond yields surged to a 4-1/2 month high ahead of JGB auctions.

The G20 finance ministers and central bank governors, meeting over the weekend in Scotland, refrained from directly addressing currencies in talks to rebalance the global economy.

The International Monetary Fund said in a report while the dollar had depreciated in recent months, it still remained on the “strong” side, putting pressure on the U.S. unit.

Data on Friday showed U.S. employers cut a larger-than-expected 190,000 jobs in October and the unemployment rate rose to 10.2 percent. The dollar’s fall prompted gold prices to hit a record high. It rose above $1,100 an ounce in Europe on Monday, extending last week’s near 5.0 percent gains.

Oil rose more than $1 to above $78 a barrel on Monday, recouping some of the previous session’s near 3 percent loss, on fears a powerful hurricane would cut U.S. oil and gas supplies and also lifted by the falling dollar.

Did You Read Our Last 8 Posts? (Here’s a Recap)

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Let’s recap what we’ve learned in the last 8 Post here at ChartPoppers.com:

* Stock means ownership. As an owner, you have a claim on the assets and earnings of a company as well as voting rights with your shares.
* Stock is equity, bonds are debt. Bondholders are guaranteed a return on their investment and have a higher claim than shareholders. This is generally why stocks are considered riskier investments and require a higher rate of return.
* You can lose all of your investment with stocks. The flip-side of this is you can make a lot of money if you invest in the right company.
* The two main types of stock are common and preferred. It is also possible for a company to create different classes of stock.
* Stock markets are places where buyers and sellers of stock meet to trade. The NYSE and the Nasdaq are the most important exchanges in the United States.
* Stock prices change according to supply and demand. There are many factors influencing prices, the most important of which is earnings.
* There is no consensus as to why stock prices move the way they do.
* To buy stocks you can either use a brokerage or a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP).
* Stock tables/quotes actually aren’t that hard to read once you know what everything stands for!
* Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered!

The Russell 2500 Index

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A broad index featuring 2,500 stocks that cover the small and mid cap market capitalizations. The Russell 2500 is a market cap weighted index that includes the smallest 2,500 companies covered in the Russell 3000 universe of United States-based listed equities.

The index is designed to be broad and unbiased in its inclusion criteria, and is recompiled annually to account for the inevitable changes that occur as stocks rise and fall in value.

The space covered by the blending of small and mid cap stocks is sometimes referred to as “smid” cap, and can describe any company up to the $10 billion market cap range. These companies are generally considered to be more growth oriented than large cap stocks, and may experience more volatility than the latter over long-term periods.

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